Tuesday, October 21, 2025

How to Fix (and improve) Baseball and Save the 2027 Season...I Hope! - Part 1 - Generalities

This blog is about Cleveland Guardians baseball.  However, I think it is time to use this site to touch on subjects, when the need arises, that talk about professional baseball, in general.

With the collective bargaining agreement up for renewal after the 2026 season, I wanted to start a discourse about how we can 'fix' (or help improve) baseball in the new CBA.

In this post I want to talk in generalities that I will flesh out in future posts.  

So, as young people say, let's gooooooooooo!

SALARY CAP 

This is the only non-starter in this discussion.  Oh, believe me, this WILL be discussed.  However, I don't think you can have it both ways.  The can't tell some owners they can't spend all the money they want and then tell other (cheap?) owners they have to spend more than they want...or can afford.  So, while other sports have salary caps, I don't see how one in baseball can be implemented at this time...or maybe ever.

Besides, we already have rules in place to discourage teams from having large payrolls.  It doesn't stop those teams, but it does penalize them if they go too crazy.  I think history shows that  those rules are at least somewhat impactful although not totally restrictive.  I think it is the best we will get, though.

SALARY FLOOR

I am one of the biggest opponents of a floor for team payrolls.   Salary floors, as I see it, will only do 2 things:

(1) Make mediocre players richer as teams try to get above the floor before opening day.  This will not be effective at leveling the talent throughout the majors. 

(2) Make the fans of teams who have low payrolls feel better.

Neither of those things helps baseball.

A positive that MIGHT come out of a salary floor, if implemented incrementally, would be to encourage teams to sign their own players to longer term deals so they don't have to play mediocre veterans more than they are worth and, by so doing, block their younger players from getting to the majors and getting valuable (and for the teams, cheap) experience.

So, there is some thought that a salary floor, if low and increasing incrementally throughout the life of the new CBA, could prompt teams to lock up their own, young players long term which, in turn, would raise their yearly payroll.

So let's proposes this:

In 2027, implement a salary floor of $100 million in payroll (only 4 teams were below this in 2025) that goes up $10 million every year for the life of the new CBA. To be sure, this is a very low bar, but it at least does work towards removing the most egregious situations of owners not spending on their teams.

MANDATING (AND REWARDING) TEAM SPENDING AND IMPROVING COMPETITIVE BALANCE
 
I have included these 2 areas together as I think they can work together to get teams to spend money on improving their teams.  Here's what I am thinking:

Change how the MLB draft is structured:

(1) Increase the bonus pool disparity between revenue recipients and the remaining worst teams (record-wise) in the league.  To do that you would add, on top of their draft pool, $5 million for those teams and make it mandatory that these teams spend greater than 100% pf their bonus pool or risk penalties paid directly to MLB for dispersal to other teams. 

(2) Re-order the draft to favor revenue recipients with the highest payrolls.  No longer is losing rewarded but, rather, winning is rewarded for teams that have limited resources. 

Implement an international draft:

This, to me, is a crucial piece to slowly bring back competitive balance.  This would be a 10 round draft with the order being based on reverse winning percentage as was done a while back to determine the order of the domestic draft.  This would involve MLB working with everyone to create a pool of draft-eligible international amateur free agents.  Each team would have an assigned bonus pool as in the domestic draft that they couldn't exceed without losing access to the international draft for the following year.  Like the ML draft, revenue sharers and the worst ML teams would receive extra bonus pool money ($3 million) and they would have to use, essentially, their whole bonus pool in every draft.

In addition to this I would like to modify the R5 eligibility for international signees under the age of 18 to give them one additional year before they have to be rostered.  Noel, et al had to be rostered before they even reached AA because of their development pathway.  Clogging the 40 man roster with kids who can't impact your ML team for years is counterproductive to competitive balance.

Reward certain teams that increase their payroll from July 15th to August 1st.

The goal here is to incentivize teams to be buyers at the deadline instead of sellers.  Potentially this could be a larger piece of the revenue share pie or additional draft picks after the 4th round or, depending on the level of the increase, after the 4th & 5th rounds of the subsequent draft.

SUMMARY

As I said, this is just a first post with some generalities.  I will go into more detail on some of these topics in later posts in this series and also suggest things that I think will be better for the games, e.g., in the playoffs revert back to the regular season rules AFTER the 12th inning.  More on that later.





Tuesday, October 14, 2025

OK, Time To Go All In on 2026

 OK, so I am a prospect hugger.  I admit it.  I've sought counseling for it for that didn't stick.

Turns out that behavior like this is either genetic or environmental.  As I don't have any squirrels or hamsters in my bloodline, I have to assume it is environmental.  Since neither of my parents were hoarders, I have to assume it is something about my life experience that led me to be this way about Cleveland Guardians' prospects.

Maybe it was the fact that when I grew up "Wait 'till Next Year" signs could be seen at Municipal Stadium soon after Memorial Day.  So, looking towards next year and the hope that prospects bring caused me to be the prospect hugger I am today.

Or maybe it was my knowledge that we will never be competitive for the big free agents and so always will need to backfill with prospects.

Maybe it's because I have seen a recent trend showing that the Guardians have SUCKED at making trades in the past few years.

But the cause doesn't matter as much as the reality that I am a prospect hugger.

So, saying what I am going to say next has taken a lot of patience and several dozen paper bags as I created this post.

But the paper bags are used up, so here goes:

It's time to go all in for the 2026 season.  

As many others have said, we won't be doing this in mainstream free agency. No Schwarber, no Tucker, no Alonso.  Besides the fact that we SUCK at free agency, we just don't have the money.

So, as a number of others have said, we have to do this through trades and, maybe, at the edges of free agency to backfill holes (especially in the pitching staff) that we might create this off-season.  

So, here's my plan, augmented by some articles and twitter posts I have read:

We trade for Zach Neto, Ketel Marte, Louis Robert Jr. and Willson Contreras.

And here is the part where I blow through the hyperventilation bags:

I don't care how many prospects it takes to get them.

That's right.  Except for Chase DeLauter, everyone else is on the table.

If we have to empty the whole farm system and throw in Arias, Rocchio, Kayfus, Valera, Noel, JRod, Brennan I am fine with that.  I am even OK with including Messick (though I would rather trade Cecconi).  I would like to keep Aleman and Walters as bullpen insurance but I am even OK with including them if it gets these deals done, especially if I can get some quality veteran RPs coming back to us in these deals.

To put it another, more dramatic way, if you take a snapshot of our current NLB Pipeline top 30 prospects and all of them are gone by next spring training to get these 4 guys, I am fine with that. I am even better with it if we get some quality RPs and a maybe a couple of AZL/GFL or DSL prospects back.

Now it's likely we wouldn't have to include all the top 30 prospects so there should be some left but...whatever it takes.

It's time to get something done and it's time to make our run while keeping the window wide open with long-term deals or years until free agency even if, as is the case with Robert Jr., the contract may be bloated compared to the production the player might provide.

Since we won't open our wallets to bloated free agent salaries, it's time to open the prospect vault to get it done, even if it means loosening those purse strings to pay the salaries of these 4 guys.

If the lineup next year looks like this, I am satisfied:

C - Naylor
1B - Contreras
2B - Marte
SS - Neto
3B - Ramirez
LF - Kwan
CF - Robert Jr.
RF - Delauter
DH - Manzardo

Bench - Fry, Schneeman, Martinez, Hedges 

I am good with this IF we keep our pitching staff (minus Messick, if necessary) intact.

This is how we make a statement.  This is how we put ourselves in contention to go to the WS. If it all collapses due to injuries or poor performances, it collapses.  It's time to take a gamble in any area where we have a chance to improve...through trades.

Wow, I've gotten through this whole post without having to use one paper bag.  Maybe even a prospect hugger like me can be cured.!