This morning the Guardians announced that they traded for two-time GG winning catcher Patrick Bailey.
Cleveland Guardians Perspective
I have been posting on Indians' forums and blogging about the Indians for most of the last 30 years. Stop by here to read interesting articles and opinions not allowed on most Tribe forums. This site is not affiliated with the Cleveland Guardians
Saturday, May 9, 2026
Saturday Thoughts: MORONIC TRADE!!!
Tuesday, April 28, 2026
The Bazzana Era Begins!
Some might say it is a move of desperation
Some may say it is about time.
But today begins the Traivis Bazzana era in Cleveland...ready or not!
So what do I expect from Bazzana:
1. Given that he is currently slashing .287/,422/.511/.933 in Columbus, I expect he will slash .260/.340/.440/.780 in Cleveland
2. I expect his K rate to go up 20% and his walk rate to go down 20%. I expect his whiff rate to go up 10% and his chase rate to go up 10%
3. I expect his defense to be halfway between Schneeman and Brito at second base
4. In my most difficult expectation, I expect that if we starts slow his production is likely to crater as he will lose confidence more quickly than the average player although he is more likely to rebound than Brito, JRod, etc. as he will quickly learn that he doesn't have to be successful all the time if surrounded by good players, compared to Australia, college and the minors where he HAD to be the best.
I hope he is the spark we need. This is quite the gamble by the Guardians as they lose a year of pre-arb control and he can't get them a PPI draft pick, although he may cost them a full year of control like Bibee did in his rookie year.
Finally, I expect this to be an overwhelmingly positive addition to the Guardians 2026 effgort.
Sunday, April 26, 2026
2026 Draft - Rounds 2-5 and some late round possibilities
In this second post of this series, I am providing a very early look at guys who I think the Guardians could draft and who I think will be there when they get to all these spots in the first 5 rounds. I have already shifted off my #29 pick and I provide options for their picks in the first 5 rounds. Again, this is very preliminary and I will have to see these guys play 'live', if possible.
Update on picks in Round 1
Slot #19 (1st Round)
Saw Hunter Dietz pitch again vs Missouri and he gave up HR-HBP-HR to lead off the game and finished it off with 7 scoreless innings (including the rest of the 1st inning). He showed great flexibility in changing his whole arsenal around after those first 3 batters and looked pretty dominant, albeit against a rebuilding Mizzou lineup. Still on Dietz as our pick at slot #19
Now Dietz is still my pick here. However, in recent developments Baseball America has Georgia Tech OFer Drew Burress (#5 prospect on MLB Pipeline) sliding to us at slot 19 and USA Today in their latest mock has Logan Reddeman, RHP UCLA, (#18 on ESPN) slightly falling to us at #19. I have not seen Reddeman pitch yet and I have not looked at Burress bc I didn't think he would fall to us. That being said, scouting reports on Reddeman intrigue me and I would be OK with him if Dietz was already taken. Burress would be a great get, being a likely CFer with RH Bazzana-like offensive skills and makeup. I could easily imagine Bazzana-DeLauter-Burress for years along with Jose, Schnee and Angel. Still, Groucho Marx once said "I would never want to be part of a club that would have me as a member" so if the #5 prospect in the draft falls to #19 just based on his perceived limitations, do I really want to gamble on him a year after gambling on LaViolette? For me, its still Dietz with Reddeman in contention if he is still available.
Slot #29 (Comp A)
I am going to move off college pitchers here (unless Dietz falls and I take Reddeman at 19) and hope that a sentimental favorite will still be here. Landon Thome is rated in the 40s and is, of course, Jim Thome's son. I might have to flip flop Thome and whoever I was planning to take at 29. I obviously have not seen the younger Thome play but once you get in the 40s range HS hitters are less sure things than a top 10 HS hitter would be. The only thing you really have to go on is pedigree, tools and baseball IQ, all of which Thome apparently has. HS hitters are a risk but I will go with Thome unless I go with Reddeman first and Dietz is still available.
Possible Picks In Rounds 2-5
Slot #59 (2nd round)
I still like Tegan Kuhn and am sliding him down to this slot because I think he will be there if I go with Thome or Dietz at 29. Ideally, I would get Reddeman, Thome and Dietz but I don't think that is possible so if I only get 2 of the 3 because the 3rd one is gone at this pick, Kuhns is my guy here.
Slot #95 (3rd round)
Continuing my run on overdrafted college pitchers, I saw Missouri's #1 starter, Josh McDevitt RHP Missouri (not listed in the top 200 of most draft prospect lists), pitch against Dietz and #24 Arkansas, including #29 overall draft prospect Ryder Helfrick. McDevitt loaded the bases on walks in the worst but struck out the side on the way to 6 scoreless innings with a career high 11 Ks. Despite that first inning he is a strikethrower who uses the FB 70+% which touched 95 along with a slider and an occasional curveball and changeup. The term 'reliever risk' is thrown around as a derogatory term but in this case I look at this kid and see Cade Smith part deux. I see him getting up to 97/98 in a relief role if he can't stick at starter, So, after opening with 3 college starting pitchers I am hedging my bets knowing that I have a pretty good chance of getting a leverage RP in McDevitt.
Slot #123 (4th round)
Now we are getting to the range where the Guardans (and me) would be looking for projectable arms and not all of these picks will make sense to us fans as they aren't top 100 ranked guys. That being said, my pick here is Cameron Johnson, LHP, Oklahoma, big bodied guy pitching in a pretty good program. The stats looked intriguing (only 3 HRs allowed in 84 innings in college/summer ball), he throws 95-97 with the secondary stuff lagging behind, almost all types being get-me-over variety. I watched him pitch against #11Auburn and he threw 110 pitches of which 100 were fastballs, mostly 95-98. He had six 3-2 counts so his command needs work as when he missed, it was with intention on backfoot sliders. On those 3-2 counts he got 4 outs and gave up a single and a walk. He is 6'6", 250 pounds and resembles, to me, CC Sabathia early in his career. In addition to the 110 pitches in the game I saw, he threw 116 earlier in a game against Alabama so that may be a plus (durability and ability to compete when he is tired) or a red flag (overuse injury waiting to happen?). He was clearly gassed the last inning against Auburn. Note that even with his size and velocity he is currently not a big strikeout guy, likely because of the lack of secondary stuff. Warning: this is an extreme overdraft but my recent experience with the draft is that guys who you think should be comfortably available in a particular round are gone 10-20 picks earlier.
Slot #155 (5th round)
Continuing with college arms, I am picking Tyler Rabe, RHP, Ole Miss with the 5th round pick. Rabe, 6'5", 200 lbs (some room to add strength) has a great combination of a fastball that sits 97-99 and has only walked SEVEN batters in 56.2 innings at#17 ranked Ole Miss. He has struck out 47 in 40.1 IP in 2026 against 5 walks. He has given up some loud contact this year (39 hits and 7 HRs so far this season). When I saw him pitch yesterday against a stacked lineup in #5 ranked Georgia, he had what I would refer to as ineffective secondary stuff early due to poor command and his fastball looked hittable as it looked a little straight, resulting in a HR to dead center. He tired in his 6th inning, resulting in diminished fastball velocity but much better use and command of his off-speed stuff. He had given up 2 runs in 6 IP on 6 hits at that point, a quality start. He was allowed to pitch to one batter in the 7th, who doubled, and who the relief pitcher allowed to score. My impression was, in Cleveland's pitching lab, when looking at his FB velocity and his low walk rate, as a 5th round pick from a program that plays advanced competition , this appears a slam dunk pick to me if he is still on the board at that time.
Late Round Sleepers of the Day
As will be the case with all these posts. Today's pick is: Dylan Johnson, C, RHH, College of Charleston. A classic 3rd day pick for the Guardians, I like his bat, his batting eye. His stats are very comparable to those of Cooper Ingle except that Johnson has been a full-time catcher. This is the year of the catcher (especially college catchers) in the 2026 MLB draft so a guy like Johnson may fall to the 3rd day where the Guardians like to pluck their college catchers from.
I am putting in another plug for Judd Utemark, a RHH UTIL, Ole Miss. He was on my 3rd day watch list for the 2025 draft due to his position versatility (he was the tallest secondbaseman in DI last year while also having started games at 1B, 3B and all 3 OF spots with some talk about him even being the starting SS this year). He has a long swing but shows a decent contact rate and eye at the plate. When I saw him on Sunday his bat speed and foot speed impressed me as he hit a 2-strike, 108 mph ground ball to the SS that was turned into a DP on a great turn at 2B and they STILL only beat Utemark, a RHH, by an eyelash at 1B. Utemark was among the NCAA D1 leaders with 22 HRs in 2025 and already has 17 in his senior year in 2026. Definitely fits Cleveland's versatility profile and, as a RHH, he balances out the handedness profile of Cleveland's OF/1B power hitting prospects. As a college senior I could see him sneaking into the end of day 2 or early in day 3 of the draft. I could even see them trying to redo their David Fry conversion and try adding catcher to his versatility.
Summary/Disclaimer
As I said in my previous post, these are very early projections of who will be available, how I think the Guardians should structure this draft (mostly college pitchers) and who is pitching well right now. I haven't had a chance to see all of these guys yet and it is clear from my description the guys I have seen and not seen yet.
More to come in future weeks. Stay tuned.
Monday, April 20, 2026
Thoughts for a Monday: Angst Over The Season So Far and Our Complicated Roster Crunch
Sunday, April 19, 2026
2026 Draft - Part 1 - Early Season Impressions
OK, it's time to start thinking about the draft. This year I plan to organize my thoughts by highlighting guys I think will be available at each of the Guardians draft slots.
Let's first talk about the dates. The first night of the draft will be July 11th and will include all picks (38) before the second round. The Guardians will pick twice, at #19 (regular 1st round pick) and #29 (Comp Round A pick). The second day of the draft (July 12th) will be rounds 2-10, the rounds that have bonus slot values above the minimum. These rounds, along with round 1, determine how much money teams likely will have to spend to offer overslot bonuses on 3rd day picks. The 3rd day of the draft, (July 13th) will include rounds 11-20, similar to what 2024 included but different than 2025, which was only a 2 day draft. Round 11 becomes a key moment in the draft as many teams will know how much money they have left to spend, what stud prospects are still available and what it will cost to sign them, if they want to be signed. This was not the case in 2025 where they shortened the draft to 2 days, which created issues for teams trying to budget for late round flyers who would require overslot bonuses to sign.
From the Guardians perspective (no pun intended) the draft looks pretty open. There seems to be a lot of strength at the very top, say the top 5 picks will have superstar potential and then, after that, it looks like it could be teams liking who they like. By that I mean that this year's rankings may go out the window at draft time with a lot of lower ranked players being selected higher than normal. While that, of course, happens every year, I think this year will be extreme with maybe only 15 top 38 ranked players being selected on day 1, with the other 23 selections being ranked anywhere from 10 to 40 places below where they are selected.
So, what do I think the Guardians should do? In 2021 the Guardians selected mainly college pitchers. Whether that was by design or just how the draft worked I, that I don't know. Position players they selected (Koxx and Fox) and high school pitchers (Ventimiglia) have not done well. Of the 18 college pitchers they selected, 15 of them are still in our system, most at AAA and AA. Most probably won't make the majors or at least won't have long major league careers but the point is not that. It is that the Guardians did a great job of drafting and developing the college pitchers they selected, starting with Williams and Bibee and maybe, eventually, including Aleman and even, eventually, Aleman, Davenport )inured now), Denholm, Webb, Dion and maybe Abney and other middle relievers.
The 2021 draft worked so well to infuse quality pitching prospects into their system and the system seems, in 2026, to be thin in terms of pitching prospects as the emphasis in 2022 to 2025 was to infuse position player prospects. I think this year the Guardians should have another college pitcher draft. They might have done this last year but essentially every college pitcher that was on their radar for the first 4 rounds was gone before they selected in that round. They would have had to overdraft college pitchers with middling stuff and chose to go a different direction, over drafting questionable college position players and HS pitchers early, leading to my grade of C- for their draft.
They need to correct that this time around. This might require some overdrafting and going for more solid prospects rather than brass ring guys, saving money for HS flyers and maybe some college sophomores in later rounds. However, with the approach of slightly overdrafting college pitchers who will almost assuredly be available, I think they stand a better chance of getting the players they put the most scouting hours into.
So let's dive in, looking at round 1 today, as a bonus, give my first mention of a potential 3rd day pick..
Friday, March 27, 2026
Minor League Previews: Columbus Clippers
It's opening night in the minor leagues and the Columbus Clippers will have good enough weather in Des Moines (not always a given in March) to play the Iowa Cubs. In fact, weather this entire 3 game series will trend upward.
So, let's take a look at the opening day roster for the Clippers:
Hitters - In short, they currently have 11 hitters on their roster. I think this number may increase over the weekend but right now, with 3 of those 11 being catchers, I think you'll see everyone play a lot and the catchers who are not catching that day may play 1B or DH. A probable lineup looks like:
Guardians Top 100 Prospects - Pre-2026 Season Edition
Spring training is over and we will start the minor league seasons on Friday. It's time to roll out the top 100 Guardians prospects to begin the season.
NOTE: This list was made without benefit of any minor league spring training information about who has advanced in the off-season, who is hurt, who has taken a downturn. I have also chosen to not include Messick as he will almost certainly blow by his rookie eligibility limits soon. It is also subject to change as information on guys getting released and anecdotes about players could raise or lower rankings of other players.
NOTE: Added Pallette, removed Nikhazy (may add him back in (in the 50 range) if he clears waiver).