Cleveland Guardians Perspective
I have been posting on Indians' forums and blogging about the Indians for most of the last 30 years. Stop by here to read interesting articles and opinions not allowed on most Tribe forums. This site is not affiliated with the Cleveland Guardians
Monday, April 20, 2026
Thoughts for a Monday: Angst Over The Season So Far and Our Complicated Roster Crunch
Sunday, April 19, 2026
2026 Draft - Part 1 - Early Season Impressions
OK, it's time to start thinking about the draft. This year I plan to organize my thoughts by highlighting guys I think will be available at each of the Guardians draft slots.
Let's first talk about the dates. The first night of the draft will be July 11th and will include all picks (38) before the second round. The Guardians will pick twice, at #19 (regular 1st round pick) and #29 (Comp Round A pick). The second day of the draft (July 12th) will be rounds 2-10, the rounds that have bonus slot values above the minimum. These rounds, along with round 1, determine how much money teams likely will have to spend to offer overslot bonuses on 3rd day picks. The 3rd day of the draft, (July 13th) will include rounds 11-20, similar to what 2024 included but different than 2025, which was only a 2 day draft. Round 11 becomes a key moment in the draft as many teams will know how much money they have left to spend, what stud prospects are still available and what it will cost to sign them, if they want to be signed. This was not the case in 2025 where they shortened the draft to 2 days, which created issues for teams trying to budget for late round flyers who would require overslot bonuses to sign.
From the Guardians perspective (no pun intended) the draft looks pretty open. There seems to be a lot of strength at the very top, say the top 5 picks will have superstar potential and then, after that, it looks like it could be teams liking who they like. By that I mean that this year's rankings may go out the window at draft time with a lot of lower ranked players being selected higher than normal. While that, of course, happens every year, I think this year will be extreme with maybe only 15 top 38 ranked players being selected on day 1, with the other 23 selections being ranked anywhere from 10 to 40 places below where they are selected.
So, what do I think the Guardians should do? In 2021 the Guardians selected mainly college pitchers. Whether that was by design or just how the draft worked I, that I don't know. Position players they selected (Koxx and Fox) and high school pitchers (Ventimiglia) have not done well. Of the 18 college pitchers they selected, 15 of them are still in our system, most at AAA and AA. Most probably won't make the majors or at least won't have long major league careers but the point is not that. It is that the Guardians did a great job of drafting and developing the college pitchers they selected, starting with Williams and Bibee and maybe, eventually, including Aleman and even, eventually, Aleman, Davenport )inured now), Denholm, Webb, Dion and maybe Abney and other middle relievers.
The 2021 draft worked so well to infuse quality pitching prospects into their system and the system seems, in 2026, to be thin in terms of pitching prospects as the emphasis in 2022 to 2025 was to infuse position player prospects. I think this year the Guardians should have another college pitcher draft. They might have done this last year but essentially every college pitcher that was on their radar for the first 4 rounds was gone before they selected in that round. They would have had to overdraft college pitchers with middling stuff and chose to go a different direction, over drafting questionable college position players and HS pitchers early, leading to my grade of C- for their draft.
They need to correct that this time around. This might require some overdrafting and going for more solid prospects rather than brass ring guys, saving money for HS flyers and maybe some college sophomores in later rounds. However, with the approach of slightly overdrafting college pitchers who will almost assuredly be available, I think they stand a better chance of getting the players they put the most scouting hours into.
So let's dive in, looking at round 1 today, as a bonus, give my first mention of a potential 3rd day pick..
Friday, March 27, 2026
Minor League Previews: Columbus Clippers
It's opening night in the minor leagues and the Columbus Clippers will have good enough weather in Des Moines (not always a given in March) to play the Iowa Cubs. In fact, weather this entire 3 game series will trend upward.
So, let's take a look at the opening day roster for the Clippers:
Hitters - In short, they currently have 11 hitters on their roster. I think this number may increase over the weekend but right now, with 3 of those 11 being catchers, I think you'll see everyone play a lot and the catchers who are not catching that day may play 1B or DH. A probable lineup looks like:
Guardians Top 100 Prospects - Pre-2026 Season Edition
Spring training is over and we will start the minor league seasons on Friday. It's time to roll out the top 100 Guardians prospects to begin the season.
NOTE: This list was made without benefit of any minor league spring training information about who has advanced in the off-season, who is hurt, who has taken a downturn. I have also chosen to not include Messick as he will almost certainly blow by his rookie eligibility limits soon. It is also subject to change as information on guys getting released and anecdotes about players could raise or lower rankings of other players.
NOTE: Added Pallette, removed Nikhazy (may add him back in (in the 50 range) if he clears waiver).
Friday, February 27, 2026
Anyone For Some Horse Trading? Part 1 - Setting the stage
Twitter is buzzing with lots of opinions about what baseball needs to thrive and a lot of tweeters are spouting gloom and doom about a work stoppage in 2027.
Sunday, February 15, 2026
What Would An International Draft Look Like?
- The goal of the international draft would be to distribute the talent more favorably to teams that needed it the most while making sure that the top players were still going to make similar bonuses to what they had made previously.
- The draft would be 5 rounds, with 150 players being selected
- Non-drafted free agents could be signed for $150,000 or less and not count against a team's draft pool. There would be a limit of 30 players any team could sign in one year
- Draft order would be based on the regular season record in the previous year
- The draft would have a hard draft cap for those 5 rounds. If a team exceeded their cap they would lose the ability to participate in the international draft in the next year.
- All teams who receive competitive balance picks in the Rule 4 draft would have an additional $2 million added to their draft budget. A competitive balance team that has one of the first 5 picks in the international draft would not be eligible for this additional bonus money.
- Teams must spend 90% of their draft budget
- International bonus money could no longer be traded
- Trading of international draft picks would not be allowed as this could be used by teams as a way not to have to spend money on bonuses for this draft.
- An add-on to the draft would be that the rules of control change so these players can not become minor league free agents until after their 7th season (current is after 6 seasons) and the Rule 5 draft is abolished. In this way teams have enough time to develop these players and yet the players are still young when they can become minor league free agents, even including the 3 options years if they are added to the 40 man roster at some point during that period.
- How would these players be trained if the current buscon system was dissolved.
- How would talent be evaluated leading up to the draft?
- Would these measures ensure that teams are appropriately spending on amateur international player acquisition or would we need additional guard rails to make sure teams were spending enough to acquire quality NDFAs under this new draft.
Tuesday, February 10, 2026
Potpourri - February 10, 2026
- If you invest in free agency you are likely to overpay but...you get talent you don't have.
- If you don't invest in free agency you have two choices
- Just go with what you have and hope or...
- Trade players (and maybe a draft choice) for players you could have had in free agency
- Sign free agent Austin Hedges (money well spent, and I don't care what anyone says)
- Sign free agent Shawn Armstrong (I'll reserve judgement on this one, cough, Paul Sewald, cough)
- Sign free agent AAAA RPs, Connor Brogdon and Colin Houlderman to MAJOR LEAGUE contracts and FA AAAA OFer Stuart Fairchild. Never can have too many AAAA FAs, although you don't usually sign those guys to ML deals.
- Have gone public saying that they are (1) they won't be signing any top, expensive free agents and (2) they inept at signing meh free agents so they don't plan to sign any of those, either...and publicly bet money that the media couldn't identify the mistakes they have made trying to go cheap in free agency over the last several years.
- Said they are going with their own, LHH-heavy prospect pool to fill out their roster as they have to give these guys a chance..right before the Tigers signed Valdez, given the Tigers two of the best LH SP in baseball.