In this second post of this series, I am providing a very early look at guys who I think the Guardians could draft and who I think will be there when they get to all these spots in the first 5 rounds. I have already shifted off my #29 pick and I provide options for their picks in the first 5 rounds. Again, this is very preliminary and I will have to see these guys play 'live', if possible.
Update on picks in Round 1
Slot #19 (1st Round)
Saw Hunter Dietz pitch again vs Missouri and he gave up HR-HBP-HR to lead off the game and finished it off with 7 scoreless innings (including the rest of the 1st inning). He showed great flexibility in changing his whole arsenal around after those first 3 batters and looked pretty dominant, albeit against a rebuilding Mizzou lineup. Still on Dietz as our pick at slot #19
Now Dietz is still my pick here. However, in recent developments Baseball America has Georgia Tech OFer Drew Burress (#5 prospect on MLB Pipeline) sliding to us at slot 19 and USA Today in their latest mock has Logan Reddeman, RHP UCLA, (#18 on ESPN) slightly falling to us at #19. I have not seen Reddeman pitch yet and I have not looked at Burress bc I didn't think he would fall to us. That being said, scouting reports on Reddeman intrigue me and I would be OK with him if Dietz was already taken. Burress would be a great get, being a likely CFer with RH Bazzana-like offensive skills and makeup. I could easily imagine Bazzana-DeLauter-Burress for years along with Jose, Schnee and Angel. Still, Groucho Marx once said "I would never want to be part of a club that would have me as a member" so if the #5 prospect in the draft falls to #19 just based on his perceived limitations, do I really want to gamble on him a year after gambling on LaViolette? For me, its still Dietz with Reddeman in contention if he is still available.
Slot #29 (Comp A)
I am going to move off college pitchers here (unless Dietz falls and I take Reddeman at 19) and hope that a sentimental favorite will still be here. Landon Thome is rated in the 40s and is, of course, Jim Thome's son. I might have to flip flop Thome and whoever I was planning to take at 29. I obviously have not seen the younger Thome play but once you get in the 40s range HS hitters are less sure things than a top 10 HS hitter would be. The only thing you really have to go on is pedigree, tools and baseball IQ, all of which Thome apparently has. HS hitters are a risk but I will go with Thome unless I go with Reddeman first and Dietz is still available.
Possible Picks In Rounds 2-5
Slot #59 (2nd round)
I still like Tegan Kuhn and am sliding him down to this slot because I think he will be there if I go with Thome or Dietz at 29. Ideally, I would get Reddeman, Thome and Dietz but I don't think that is possible so if I only get 2 of the 3 because the 3rd one is gone at this pick, Kuhns is my guy here.
Slot #95 (3rd round)
Continuing my run on overdrafted college pitchers, I saw Missouri's #1 starter, Josh McDevitt (not listed in the top 200 of most draft prospect lists), pitch against Dietz and #24 Arkansas, including #29 overall draft prospect Ryder Helfrick. McDevitt loaded the bases on walks in the worst but struck out the side on the way to 6 scoreless innings with a career high 11 Ks. Despite that first inning he is a strikethrower who uses the FB 70+% which touched 95 along with a slider and an occasional curveball and changeup. The term 'reliever risk' is thrown around as a derogatory term but in this case I look at this kid and see Cade Smith part deux. I see him getting up to 97/98 in a relief role if he can't stick at starter, So, after opening with 3 college starting pitchers I am hedging my bets knowing that I have a pretty good chance of getting a leverage RP in McDevitt.
Slot #123 (4th round)
Now we are getting to the range where the Guardans (and me) would be looking for projectable arms and not all of these picks will make sense to us fans as they aren't top 100 ranked guys. That being said, my pick here is Cameron Johnson, LHP, Oklahoma, big bodied guy pitching in a pretty good program. The stats looked intriguing (only 3 HRs allowed in 84 innings in college/summer ball), he throws 95-97 with the secondary stuff lagging behind, almost all types being get-me-over variety. I watched him pitch against #11Auburn and he threw 110 pitches of which 100 were fastballs, mostly 95-98. He had six 3-2 counts so his command needs work as when he missed, it was with intention on backfoot sliders. On those 3-2 counts he got 4 outs and gave up a single and a walk. He is 6'6", 250 pounds and resembles, to me, CC Sabathia early in his career. In addition to the 110 pitches in the game I saw, he threw 116 earlier in a game against Alabama so that may be a plus (durability and ability to compete when he is tired) or a red flag (overuse injury waiting to happen?). He was clearly gassed the last inning against Auburn. Note that even with his size and velocity he is currently not a big strikeout guy, likely because of the lack of secondary stuff. Warning: this is an extreme overdraft but my recent experience with the draft is that guys who you think should be comfortably available in a particular round are gone 10-20 picks earlier.
Slot #155 (5th round)
Continuing to college arms, I am picking Matt Sauser, RHP, Central Florida with the 5th round pick. Sauser is a 6'4", 230 pound RHP. He only throws 90-91. He is the classic pitchability guy who misses barrels and limits walks. He only strikes out 7.5 batters per 9 innings so he relies on pitching to contact. I like his size and how he misses barrels. I compare him to Dylan DeLucia and, while hesitant his stuff may not play enough enough to be effective in the majors, the same was said about Parker Messick who found that increase in velocity last year and even moreso this year.
Late Round Sleeper of the Day
As will be the case with all these posts. Today's pick is: Dylan Johnson, C, RHH, College of Charleston. A classic 3rd day pick for the Guardians, I like his bat, his batting eye. His stats are very comparable to those of Cooper Ingle except that Johnson has been a full-time catcher. This is the year of the catcher (especially college catchers) in the 2026 MLB draft so a guy like Johnson may fall to the 3rd day where the Guardians like to pluck their college catchers from.
Summary/Disclaimer
As I said in my previous post, these are very early projections of who will be available, how I think the Guardians should structure this draft (mostly college pitchers) and who is pitching well right now. I haven't had a chance to see all of these guys yet and it is clear from my description the guys I have seen and not seen yet.
More to come in future weeks. Stay tuned.