So, my thought was to look at what switch hitters there were in the 2025 draft and would any of them be fits for the Guardians at their draft slots. So let's take a look, using MLB's top 200 list and some digging I have been doing on my own. The prospect ranking is listed first with each guy. Anyone above 27 or between 27 and 60 is probably going to be gone before we would ever consider drafting a switch hitter in the first and second round, respectively..
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Thursday, July 3, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 13 - Switch Hitters
So, my thought was to look at what switch hitters there were in the 2025 draft and would any of them be fits for the Guardians at their draft slots. So let's take a look, using MLB's top 200 list and some digging I have been doing on my own. The prospect ranking is listed first with each guy. Anyone above 27 or between 27 and 60 is probably going to be gone before we would ever consider drafting a switch hitter in the first and second round, respectively..
Thursday, June 26, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 12 - Random Thoughts
Ok, the draft is coming and it's time for some random thoughts that will color my final Mock draft which should post the night before Day 1 of the draft.
- NO SOFT TOSSERS We have drafted soft tossers like Austin Peterson, Dylan DeLucia and Will Dion. For those of you who saw Peterson's last two AAA starts, it is obvious to me now that every soft tosser reaches a level where they can't compete. Matthew Boyd is the exception, not the model we should strive to be. So, no soft tossers except on day 3 in my Mock Draft 3.0.
- NO HS PITCHERS EXCEPT ON DAY 3 - I am OK with the HS pitchers we took last year. But look at their stats. Even the best HS pitchers are projects. So while I'd draft one of two of them on the 3rd day, I just can't see how we can go to that well early in the 2025 draft. We need guys who will be important contributors in this decade.
- I MAY SOFTENT MY STANCE ON COLLEGE CATCHERS - If Andrew Fischer, Jace LaViolette and Tyler Bremner are gone when we pick at 27, I might be inclined to pick Cam Bodine. He is a switch hitter with the best hit tool in the draft. Looking at Naylor and Cozart, we will need someone to pair with Ingle in a couple of years and that could easily be Bodine.
- NO DAKOTA JORDAN-LIKE PICKS - Jordan fell last year because people questioned if his potential would ever match his talent. Looking at this year's class I want solid guys until we get to the 3rd day. So I plan to stay away from the type of guys who tend to be overdrafted based on their raw potential. BTW, so far Jordan's performance is validating the people who stayed away although I will say Jordan was a good gamble in the 4th round, especially if you have a strong farm system. Cleveland doesn't and I don't think a brass ring grab is the way to go in this draft.
- YOU CAN NEVER HAVE ENOUGH DHs - It is great to have a slick SS, a great centfielder and a great defensive catcher. Well, if you can't score runs it doesn't matter. We have spent a lot of drafts trying to find well-rounded position players and, in recent years, were looking for contact-oriented hitters who could grow into their power stroke or, maybe, have enough good other tools to compensate for no power. For me, it is time to go back to accumulating the Bash Brothers Part Deux. A big part of my last Mock will be accumulating those players as I feel that postion players who are obviously DHs in waiting will be undervalued with teams always chasing that 5-tool players. Let's look for the next Kyle Schwarber...and hope other teams are dreaming on multi-tool guys.
- BIGGER IS BETTER - No Freddy Beenes in this draft. If we get to choose between a 6'0" and a 6'5" guy I will choose the taller guy, even if the shorter guy is more polished and has better CURRENT upside. The Guardians' pitching braintrust can teach a lot of things but they can't teach tall. I'll be looking for tall pitchers, and that includes HS pitchers.
- THE ELEVENTH ROUND IS REALLY THE FIRST ROUND ON DAY 3 - Looking back, the Guardians' 11th round picks have been Garrett Howe (2024), Johny Tincher (2023), Magnus Ellerts (2022) and Hunter Stanley (2021). All of these are college guys but I would venture to say that only Ellerts was an attempt to get the absolute best prospect available when their 11th round pick rolled around. And maybe not even Ellerts. It's time to treat this pick as if the 11th round pick was their first pick in the draft. They have all night after day 2. Pick the best available player you are pretty sure you cna sign, even if you have to go over slot. In fact, there is something to be said for going MOST overslot on your 11th round pick. Not saying to do that but there is some logic as you will likely outdo all other teams for 3rd day talent with just one pick.
- SPREAD THE WEALTH - The Guardians will not have the luxury of saving close to $3 million on their 1st round pick this year. Still, like in 2023 when they gave $1 million to Alex Mooney and, in so doing, didn't have enough to sign Mac Heuer and Ryan Marohn, they could have spread the money around to sign 3 good players instead of just Mooney. This year they need to do better BECAUSE they won't have a lot of excess to spread around and not put their eggs in one basket like they did with Mooney. It cost them a guy with the potential to be a first rounder in 2026 (Marohn) and another good pitching prospect (Heuer). So, in 2025, they need to spread the money around, especially leaving a good war chest for the 3rd day draftees.
Tuesday, June 24, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 11 - Finding 3rd Day Hidden Gems - Under The Radar College Pitchers
OK, here is where the pre-draft stuff gets fun...and interesting. In Parts 7 and 8 we talked under the radar power hitters and high school catchers who, if available on day 3, might be good late-in-the-draft picks.
Sunday, June 22, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 10 - Mock Draft 2.0
OK, lots of mock drafts are coming out now and I have a few thoughts:
- If we take a contact first HS hitter in the first round who MIGHT develop power later (e.g., Slater de Brun), I will puke. I mean, Bo Naylor and even Ralphy Velasquez haven't shown them that can't develop HS hitters.
- If they pick Tate Southisene as that HS hitter I will double puke.
Thursday, June 19, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 9 - Why You Should Never Look at My Mock Drafts - A History Lesson
But I wanted to bring this back to earth with a history lesson on my mock drafts. Let's look back at the drafts I suggested making. Some were mock drafts prior to the draft like this year and some were immediately post-draft mock drafts. I'll let you know which is which below.
2023 (post-draft retrospective based on available players)
2. Zack Gelof
2C. Joe Whitman
3. Levi Wells
4. MIchael Carico
5. Jace Bohrofen
6. Alex Mooney
7. Ross Dun
8. Blake Dickerson
9. Matt Etzel
10, Tanner Witt (did not sign)
11. Johny Tincher
12. Keegan Zinn
13. Jacob Bresnahan:
14. Zane Morehouse
15. Kyle Scott
16. Mac Heuer (did not sign)
17. Barrett Riebock
18. Matt Jachac
19. Josh Harlow
20. Ryan Marohn (did not sign)
So, when I do a mock draft...realize that it is going to be wrong. Ahhh, I feel a lot better now.
Monday, June 16, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 8 - Finding 3rd Day Hidden Gems Part 2 - Third Day High School Catchers
INTRODUCTION
So, you may ask, why am I talking about drafting HS catchers on the 3rd day of the draft?
Three reasons:
- I believe that the college catching prospects don't line up, at all, based on talent, with where our draft slots are. Each one would likely be a significant overdraft if we were able to get them and I just don't see that they are worth that, given the talent in the draft at each of those slots. Obviously, if a guy drops significantly we might draft them in the first 10 rounds, but that applies to all draft prospects who drop significantly.
- I believe that the Guardians will look at the failures they have had with 3rd day college catchers and not want to go there again.
- I believe that the Guardians are disappointed with the development of their international catcher signees which, in the past few years, they emphasized with zero success in producing even marginal prospects.
- I believe they are excited about the one 3rd day catching prospect they drafted in the past 4 years, Logun Clark (see below).
BACKGROUND
HS catchers are a tough pick in the draft, especially if teams spend a 1st or 2nd day pick on one. Blowing a top 10 round pick on someone with only a low % chance of making the majors is difficult to swallow with the bonuses top 10 round picks are paid today.
Let's look at some numbers.
HS catchers drafted by the Guardians between 2021-2024:
- In 2023 they drafted Ralphy Velasques with their 1st round pick but quickly moved him off catcher putting him first to 1B and then, when they found he was athletic enough, to LF.
- In 2022 they drafted Logun Clark in the 16th round. I have watched him develop and he is the reason I am suggesting that the Guardians draft a couple of more HS catchers on the 3rd day of the 2025 draft.
- Rated HS catching prospects drafted: 10
- Rated signed: 10
- Unrated drafted: 4
- Unrated signed: 4
- Rated HS catching prospects signed: 1
- Rated unsigned: 3
- Non-rated signed: 9
- Non-rated prospects unsigned: 3
- Rated not drafted: 18
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS ORGANIZATIONAL CATCHER DEPTH
- Presley Courville
- Endo Infelise
- Cade McDade
- Peter Mershon
- Stow Rogers
- Quinn Schambow
- Josh Toole
- Cash Williams
- Jeter Worthley
- Alonzo Alvarez (participating in MLB draft combine)
- Brady Dallimore (participating in MLB draft combine)
- Jase Mitchell (participating in MLB draft combine)
- Owen Jenkins (participating in MLB draft combine)
- Diego Rosa (participating in MLB draft combine
- This draft is deep in HS catching prospects of the type you could grab on the 3rd day.
- There are a number of cases where top colleges have signed 2 of these HS catchers, meaning only one is likely to play with the other red-shirted
- The current situation in the transfer portal could mean that an opening that a HS catcher saw at the college they committed to might be compromised by that college signing 1 or more advanced college catchers out of the portal.
Sunday, June 8, 2025
2025 Guardians Amateur Draft - Part 7 - Finding 3rd Day Hidden Gems Part 1 - Power Hitters
OK, now that we have completed the rationale for my mock draft of days 1 and 2 of the 2025 draft, time to look ahead to day 3 and gems we might find there.
This year I want to do some Guardians-like and some anti-Guardians things. So here is what I am looking for on the 3rd day>
- POWER HITTERS - I want to look for HS and college power hitters. Due to the 2022 and 2023 slap hitter drafts and how we handle international signings the lower part of our minors is scattered with guys who have, at best, 45 grade power. I might look for one college catcher in this group, as well, with some ability to play other positions.
- HS PITCHER FLYERS - While this is very Guardians' like I want to find as many guys like Jacob Remily (2024), Keegan Zinn 2023) and Jacob Bresnahan (2023) guys as possible. Even the wonderful 2021 college pitcher draft has yet to produce, from rounds 11-20, a single guy who has got a foothold on AAA yet. While that is unsurprising for guys drafted that low, it points out how difficult it is for guys drafted on the 3rd day to even make it
- HS CATCHERS - We have had so much bad luck with drafting college catchers and signing international amateur free agent catchers that I wanted to try something different. Logun Clark (HS catcher, 16th round, 2023) is probably the most exciting catching prospect we have in the low minors. He is not a great prospect, not even making top 30 lists for Cleveland and HS hitters take a long time to develop. Still, I think it is time to draft a number of HS catchers on day 3 and let the developmental process sort them out.
- COLLEGE RELIEVERS - This is a great way to fill up the 3rd day of the draft as the Guardians, once again, showed in 2024. In fact, 57.5% (23/40) of their day 3 draft picks in the past 4 years have been college relievers. This year I would like to see 2/10 of those picks being college pitchers.
- INJURED COLLEGE PITCHERS - The Guardians have gone down this path before. signing guys coming off TJ surgery or other arm injuries that kept them out mostly or completely, from competing in their draft year. Coaxing 1-2 of those guys who would have gone in the second day of the draft if healthy would be a big win, especially toward the end of the 3rd day
- Boston Smith, Sr., LHH, Wright State, C, INF, OF - Playing in a weak conference and catching full-time for the first time, he hit 26 HRs. In the previous 2 years in summer ball and in college, he played every position except 1B and CF so he has some versatility.
- John Bay, Sr., CF, RHH, Austin Peay - Bay was one of my dark horses for the Guardians to draft late in the 2024 draft. He went undrafted and returned to college where he just turned 24. As a centerfielder who hit 24 and 22 HRs and stole 11 and 12 bases in 2024 and 2025, respectively, I think, as a 3rd day pick he makes a lot of sense, even if he did play in a weak conference. He also hit 4 HRs and had a .900 OPS in the Cape last summer. I love that he stayed at Austin Peay instead of entering the portal last year.
- Judd Utermark, 2B/3B , RHH, Jr. Ole. Miss - Hit 22 HR this year but had 92 K in only 252 ABs so teams may be scared off from drafting him on the first 2 days due to the excessive swing and miss. Might be a good 3rd day pick
- Eddie Madrigal, LHH, 1B, RF, C, RS-Jr., St. Mary's (CA) - Hit 21 HRs playing mainly 1B but has played RF, CF, LF and C in the past. Missed a lot of time due to injuries and may just be rounding into form.
- Easton Amundsen, Sr., LHH, 1B/RF/LF, Metro State University (Denver) - The DII HR leader (34) this spring, if the Guardians can sign him as a NDFA and just throw him out there and see what he has, it would be interesting. The Guardians have a lot of slap hitters but not many power hitters so I would like to see them get as many as possible in the draft.