Saturday, July 20, 2024

2024 Draft - Part 35 - July 20th Draft Thoughts (UPDATE)

 1. Bazzana signing for $8.95 million really helps us get enough money to sign other draftees.   By my calculation we now have banked $1,925,400 from our under slot signings plus another $916,516 that we have in 4.999% overage for a total $2,841,916.

2. Assuming we sign all of our other top 10 round picks and that any overage for Doughty would be made up under slot amounts for our remaining picks in the top 10 rounds, hers is what we would have left to pay our other 3 HS pitchers we selected in the top 10 rounds:

Oakie - $2,000,000 bonus (=$906,800 (slot) + $1,093,200 overage)

Sullivan - $875,000 bonus (=$297,100 (slot) + $577,900 overage)

Mobley - $1,350,000 bonus (=$183,600 (slot) + $1,166,400 overage)

This would leave us about $4400 from our overage = 4.999% pool so any other savings that we would apply would have to come from under slot signings of guys remaining in our top 10 round picks and Doughty not requiring an overslot bonus.  Obviously if he would come in for $100,000 under slot that would help us to save money for picks in rounds 11-20.

The thing about this is if we don't sign Mobley, we would have over $1.1 million that we would have no use for as we didn't draft any flyers in rounds 11-20 that would require over slot bonuses.    

So, not only are we set up, financially, to sign all these guys, if we don't sign them they lose out of a lot of money and we lose out on having, on paper, one of the best drafts in Guardians' history...the classic lose-lose scenario.

3. We released Ethan Hankins yesterday.  That could just be the tip of the iceberg because the minor league limit of total players a team can have is probably already full, meaning one goes on, one comes off at this point.  Whether Hankins was released because Bazzana was assigned to Lake County is unknown...but it sure appears it might be.  Really a shame for Hankins as he had a great arm and just couldn't stay healthy.  I hope he finds his dream somewhere else.

4. Interesting that Antonetti was on the broadcast on Saturday (I only saw it today as my area was blacked out) saying that the strategy all along was to pick a lot of HS pitchers.  I would love it if that had, indeed, been the strategy all along.  Clearly, history tells us that there are always stud HS pitchers available in the draft.  The issues with HS P, especially righthanders, is that they are costly and are one of the riskiest groups to draft as their failure, and dramatic failure (never even making it to AAA) is close to the worst for a group of drafted players.  So, if you have a lot of money and are willing to accept that risk (Antonetti acknowledged that risk and implied that Cleveland was accepting of it) it is a solid strategy.  None of us will likely ever know what factors (e.g., bonus demands of sophomores like Dakota Jordan) played a part in the pre-draft strategy or if the 'strategy' just evolved as certain players the Guardians wanted disappeared ahead of where the Guardians wanted to draft them.  Clearly, I substituted Jordan for Doughty and Mobley and added some college pitchers that I had in my pre-draft mock.  


No comments:

Post a Comment