The amateur baseball draft, known more precisely as the Rule 4 draft, is held once a year in July. It consists of 20 rounds and is limited to high school graduates, junior college players and college juniors, seniors and draft-eligible sophomores. It is followed by a period in which teams can sign undrafted but draft-eligible players, called non-drafted free agents (NDFAs).
Cleveland Guardians Perspective
I have been posting on Indians' forums and blogging about the Indians for most of the last 30 years. Stop by here to read interesting articles and opinions not allowed on most Tribe forums. This site is not affiliated with the Cleveland Guardians
Wednesday, November 5, 2025
How To Fix Baseball - Part 4 - How Do We Fix The Rule 4 Draft*
Monday, November 3, 2025
How Do We Fix Baseball - Part 3 - The International Amateur Draft
This post will discuss what I consider the single most important step we can put in place to increase competitive balance, long term, in baseball: institute a separate international draft each year on January 15th and change slightly the rules of years of player control and Rule 5 draft eligibility. Why, you may ask, do I think an international amateur draft is important?
Currently, although there is some nuance to it, international amateur free agents can generally be signed after their 16th birthday. Each year there is a signing period that runs from January 15th through mid-December. There are international signing budgets that teams are supposed to stick to and, while the most recent CBAs have added some teeth to penalties for teams exceeding those budgets, the penalties are not nearly as severe as exceeding a budget in the US amateur draft (Rule 4 draft).
How To Fix Baseball - Part 2 - Salary Floor and Salary Cap And Other Things To Make Teams More Competitive
Sunday, November 2, 2025
Ah, It's the Off-Season - Let's Look Ahead At The Next Few Weeks
The off-season officially begins today. Lots of important dates so I thought I would summarize them, especially as they pertain to the Guardians.
November 2
- Eligible ML players declare their free agency: Lane Thomas, Jakob Junis can declare. Junis may actually sign between now and November 6th (see below).
- Gold Glove Award Winners Announced: Kwan, Santana, Schneeman eligible
- Teams can start trading ML players and prospects with each other (they could only trade minor league players not on 40-man rosters since the trading deadline)
- Free agents allowed to sign w/other teams (Guards likely to be quiet early w/ MLB FAs)
- Qualifying offers must be tendered (Guardians will not extend any)
- AL Silver Sluggers announced (Jose Ramirez finalist at 3B)
- AL Manager of the Year announced (Steven Vogt has a chance to win his 2nd in a row)
- AL Hank Aaron Award winner and all-MLB Teams announced (Jose Ramirez has a chance in each category
- 40-man rosters and AAA and AA reserve lists set for each time in preparation of the Rule 5 draft (If I had it my way, prospects signed before their 17th birthday would get an extra year of team control and not be Rule 5 eligible for an additional year compared to players drafted out of high school. The Guardians have up to 20 guys that I see who are R5 eligible who I think might play in the majors some day for some team. They are likely to protect 3-4 with Angel Genao, Khalil Watson and Austin Peterson the most likely and Wuilfredo Antunez a dark horse. Of course, CA and Chernof have surprised us in the past by protecting relievers (e.g., Tim Herrin). So, it will, as always, be interesting, and start the nail-biting up to December 10 (date the R5 draft is held).
- Players have to decide if they are going to accept QOs and, if not, go to free agency
- Teams have to decide if they will tender players 2026 contracts. Non-tendered players become free agents (Lively, Hentges, Allard, Festa, Brennan are among Guardians who might be non-tendered). Non-tendered players are then added to the free agent pool.
- NOTE: I have said for a long time that in the new CBA they should flip the 40-man roster freeze and non-tender dates. It makes no sense to set your 40-man and then almost immediately non-tender guys who you have protected. I know teams make that work but it makes no sense to this baseball fan.
- The group formerly known as the Veterans Committee will announce if any player who has completed their HOF consideration period will be added to the HOF for the upcoming year. The nominees have not been announced but we can only hope that Kenny Lofton is among them. There is lots of internet lobbying going on, some subtle, some not so subtle, for certain players being nominated.
- The Rule 5 Draft will be held. Last year the Guardians had Christian Cairo selected in the ML phase and selected Will Wilson in the AAA phase. I have ultimate faith in Antonetti and Chernof to do this right, as they seem to do every year.
Tuesday, October 21, 2025
How to Fix (and improve) Baseball and Save the 2027 Season...I Hope! - Part 1 - Generalities
Tuesday, October 14, 2025
OK, Time To Go All In on 2026
Tuesday, September 16, 2025
Thoughts for September 16th
MINOR LEAGUES
- Ralph Velazquez finished the season in Akron and finished with an OPS of .994. I see him as a top 100 prospect in baseball this winter on at least some ranking websites
- Wuilfredo Antunez hit well at both Lake County and Akron, maintaining his OPS and SB rate with a drop in power and walk rate after the promotion. The Guardians will have an interesting choice deciding on whether he will be placed on the 40 man this winter in order to protect him from the Rule 5.
- Angel Genao was hampered by injury but remains a top prospect in the Guardians' system. He finished the year strong, pushing his BA to .260 with concomitant improvement in his SLG, OBP and, of course, his OPS.
- Jorge Burgos is an under-the-radar prospect who stays interesting. He ended the season injured but put up good numbers leading to 73 RBI and 14 HRs in only 355 ABs.
- Jacob Cozart looked like a AAAA catcher in his time in Lake County but hit a little better when promoted to Akron. I still think he profiles as a ML backup, something that that you don't want to see in a 2nd round catcher. BTW, Antonneti said that they really liked Khal Stephen in the 2024 draft but just couldn't draft him. Well, Cozart was drafted BEFORE Stephen in the 2nd round, meaning they liked Cozart better than Stephen.
- Alfonsin Rosario struggled upon his promotion to Akron but finished with 5 HRs and 6 2B in 128 ABs after a good season in Lake County.