Saturday, February 25, 2012

Building your foundation on a house of cards.

So Grady Sizemore is hurt again!  A lower back strain caused by bending over to field a ground ball.  That's something that a lot of the 50+ guys who read this can relate to.  The problem is that Grady is not 50+ and is getting paid a heck of a lot more than almost of that gender/age group.

The Indians made a $5 million gamble on Grady because, after the Ubaldo Jimenez trade any thought of turning the other direction, cutting Grady loose and rebuilding went right out the window.  The Indians HAD to cut the best deal with Grady they could and hope against hope that he was healthy and productive this year. 

It looks like that gamble may have failed.  Looking at the outfielders they were able to gather up this winter tells you that they had to gamble on Grady.  GM Antonnetti said that almost all of these guys had big league experience.  Isn't that like someone suggesting to you that you should eat at a restaurant just because the health department hasn't closed it down....yet?  Face it, all of the guys in camp to replace Sizemore are AAAA types or, at best, 4th outfielders in the majors.  AT BEST.  Yeah, we might be able to catch some lightning in a bottle and the winner of the replace Grady lottery might give us 30 to 60 days of above average production before they come back down to their AAAA/utility/minor league free agent/career average level.  At this point that is all that we can hope for.

You know, at this point Grady should probably just retire and save the Indians the $5 million.  That would be the standup thing to do.  But the Indians wouldn't allow that.  They will play this out to the end hoping for a miracle.

But when you set up the foundation of your 20 story building on a house of cards this is what often happens.  THAT is what they pay GMs NOT to do.  I hate to say it but this season and the next few for the Indians may be the beginnings of a new book and movie.  The title will probably be something like 'Idiot Ball'.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Another asset given away for nothing

Cory Burns, Josh Judy, Zach Putnam....now Kelvin De la Cruz.

The Indians 'traded' De la Cruz to Texas after DFAing him to clear a roster spot for Kotchman.

Most of us questioned putting him on the 40-man this winter and now that bonehead move has cost the Indians as, through DFAing him, they had to expose him to waivers and, in so doing, they eventually were backed into a corner to trade him for a little money.

De la Cruz has had injury issues which have limited his development but two things in this situation are true:

1. De la Cruz should NEVER have been put on the 40-man roster to begin with.  He was not ready and he would NOT have been selected in the major league portion of the Rule 5 draft.

2. If they thought so little of De la Cruz they should have DFA'd him this winter and kept a fungible major league asset in Josh Judy.  Yeah, not a great asset but homegrown and lost needlessly.

This move shows yet another example of how pathetically run the Cleveland Indians currently are.  Losing multiple pitching prospects this winter and getting laughable (Cunningham and Slowey) players in return.

All after giving up the future in the Ubaldo Jimenez trade.

Sunday, February 5, 2012

Update to 2011 International Signing Period - Latest List

Here is the list of significant Latin signings from players eligible for the 2011 signing period.   The numbers are from the Baseball America rankings.   There are two unsigned players from BA's ranked players (see bottom of list) unless I have just missed their signings.
 
Ranking, Name, Position, CountryTeamBonus
NR Iosif Bernal, OF, PanamaAtlanta$230,000
16. Manuel Marcos, OF, Dominican RepublicBoston$800,000
17. Raimel Flores, SS, Dominican RepublicBoston$900,000
NR Dioscar Romero, RHP, VenezuelaBoston$600,000
NR Luis Martinez, RHP, VenezuelaChicago WS$250,000
8. Marck Malave, C, VenezuelaChicago Cubs????
9. Luis Enrique Acosta, SS, Dominican RepublicChicago Cubs$1.1 million
30. Ricardo Marcano, 3B, VenezuelaChicago Cubs????
39. Jonathan Perez, RHP, VenezuelaCincinnati$825,000
38. Soid Marquez, RHP, VenezuelaCincinnati????
14. Dorssys Paulino, SS, Dominican RepublicCleveland$1.1 million
29. Anthony Santander, OF, VenezuelaCleveland$385,000
NR Fancisco Miguel, OF, Dominican RepublicCleveland$200,000
27. Antonio Senzatela, RHP, VenezuelaColorado????
26. Adelin Santa, 3B, Dominican RepublicDetroit$750,000
13. Luis Reynoso, SS, Dominican RepublicHouston$700,000
40. Arturo Michelena, SS, VenezuelaHouston$220,000
NR Harold Arauz, RHP, PanamaHouston$300,000
1. Elier Hernandez, OF, Dominican Republic Kansas City$3.05 million
12. Adalberto Mondesi, SS, Dominican Republic Kansas City$2 million
22. Miguel Gonzalez, RHP, Dominican RepublicMinnesota$650,000
28. Mauricio Silva, RHP, VenezuelaMinnesota $370,000
24. Jose Garcia, C, VenezuelaNY Mets$800,000
20. Miguel Andujar, 3B, Dominican Republic  NY Yankees$750,000
34. Sanber Pimentel, OF/1B, Dominican RepublicOakland????
37. Yairo Munoz, SS, Dominican Republic Oakland $280,000
25. Carlos Tocci, OF, VenezuelaPhiladelphia$759,000
15. Harold Ramirez, OF, ColombiaPittsburgh$1.1 million
23. Elvis Escobar, OF, VenezuelaPittsburgh$570,000
7. Jose Ruiz, C, VenezuelaSan Diego$1.1 million
18. Franmil Reyes, OF, Dominican RepublicSan Diego$700,000
3. Victor Sanchez, RHP, VenezuelaSeattle$2 million plus
11. Helsin Martinez, OF, Dominican RepublicSeattle$2 million
35. Jose Godoy, C, VenezuelaSt. Louis$200,000
NR Dewin Perez, :LHP, ColombiaSt. Louis$450,000
36. Eric Otanez, C, Dominican RepublicTampa Bay????
2. Ronald Guzman, OF, Dominican RepublicTexas$3.5 million
10. Nomar Mazara, OF, Dominican RepublicTexas$5.0 million
19. Yohander Mendez, LHP, VenezueaTexas$1.5 million
NR Eduard Pinto OF, VenezuelaTexas$300,000
4. Roberto Osuna, RHP, MexicoToronto????
5. Wilmer Becerra, SS/OF, VenezuelaToronto????
6. Dawel Lugo, SS, Dominican RepublicToronto$1.3 million
21. Jesus Gonzalez, OF, VenezuelaToronto????
33. Manuel Cordova, RHP, VenezuelaToronto?????
31. Manuel Gonzalez, RHP, Dominican Republic  
32. Gialy Arias, RHP, Dominican Republic  

Musings for an early February morning

  •  Russ Canzler cost us $100,000?  Interesting as I am sure Tampa Bay took the best offer.  So why would a team like the Indians get an essentially first base-only guy when they have Duncan who is out of options?  Beats me and beats me why they would pay $100,000 for him.  Remember that Aaron Cunningham (he of the trade that cost us Josh Judy and Cory Burns) is also out of options.  100K is not much but getting Canzler doesn't seem to fit.  Heck, maybe he can turn out to be Casey Blake but without Blake's defense.
  • Casey Kotchman?  Not a bad signing as we had to have better defense at first base with our starters.  However, let's remember that this is a domino signing.  Signing Kotchman means that LaPorta is probably going to the minors.  It also means that someone will be bumped off the 40 man roster and, as with Josh Jody, could easily be lost on waivers.  So when we consider Kotchman as a plus, and I do, remember that the incremental increase in talent will be dulled somewhat if LaPorta isn't here and if we lose the guy we DFA off the roster.  Again, this move does nothing to make the huge gamble in getting Jimenez look less fool-hearty.  And also remember that people talk about Pomeranz and White but Joe Gardner who we also lost in the trade is not chopped liver and performed very well after th trade.  As a groundball pitcher Gardner fits the mold of a guy who could get a lot of ML time in Colorado.
  • As far as who will be lost from the roster, this will be interesting.  The Indians know much more about the health of Nick Weglarz than we all do.  My money is that he is not healthy and that the Indians will DFA him.    Popular money is on Juan Diaz or Danny Salazar as many fans can't understand why they were rostered this off-season.  One thing the Indians will probably NOT do is DFA Aaron Cunningham because their trade for him (loss of Burns and Judy) would look incredibly stupid at that point.   Aside from Weglarz, who would represent a significant loss for the organization, Ezequiel Carrera looks like someone they might try to sneak through waivers, as well.  As always, with the Indians, this will be an interesting roster move.
  • Under this new administration it appears that when this organization is 'done' with a guy they are done with him for good and really don't value him at all.  They obviously don't give a crap about guys like Huff, Crowe, Putnam, Judy and Burns and, now, probably LaPorta.  The issue when an organization has this kind of attiutde that guys like Casey Blake sneak through and end up with good careers elsewhere.  The Indians were like thise regarding Jeremy Guthrie and Brandon Phillips, remember and look how that turned out.
  • The Indians have dissed their minor league relief pitching prospects and gone with veteran minor league signings.  Over the past three years the Indians have had the following veteran relief AAAA filler who they have signed to minor league contracts: Chad Durbin, Justin Germano, Mike Gosling, Greg Aquino, Vinnie Chulk, Matt Herges, Tomo Ohka, Rich Rundles, Luis Vizcaino, Jose Veras.and Jamey Wright.  They let those guys pitch instead of giving the innings to their own prospects. Antonnetti said that the guys they brought in on minor league deals this year were brought in because they had a chance to contribute this year.  History would say the Indians have no clue how to pick these guys as none of the above guys had even decent stats here and most looked really bad.   Looking at the list of available relievers who signed minor league deals this off-season, I can spot at least 6 guys who were significantly better than the best AAAA reliever we signed.  Clearly we were bottom feeding and it is interesting we signed a lot of these guys AFTER we lost bullpen prospects and possible major league contributors this year in Putnam, Judy and Burns.  Could it be that the agents for the AAAA relievers smelled blood in the water after our trades and their clients knew from those moves and recent history that they would have the best shot to get ML time with the Indians, despite bad performances in the past and this coming season?  The Indians seem more intent on signing guys who will take the garbage the FO deals out and say 'may I have another, please?' in the hopes of getting a small amount of time in the majors that will come despite not earning it and will be extended beyond all reasonableness even if they pitch poorly in the big leagues.