Tuesday, October 19, 2021

How did we do at the trade deadline

 Let's take a statistical look at how we did at the trade deadline.

Hernandez for Pilkington:

Hernandez: post-trade regular season:  .232 BA/.608 OPS
Hernandez: post-season: .286 BA/ .831 OPS

Analysis: The White Sox got 1.5 years of a reasonably priced solid second baseman,   He wasn't as good as he was in Cleveland but the Sox thought enough of his value to trade Madrigal to help get Kimbrel.  Pilkington has potential but having to protect a guy who isn't even one of our top 30 prospects this off-season is a problem.   My fear is that they will protect him to justify the Hernandez trade, resulting in a much more quality prospect being left exposed to the Rule 5 or given away for peanuts in some trade.

Rosario for Sandoval:

Rosario: Regular season: .271 BA/ .903 OPS
Rosario: Post-season so far: .409 BA/ .874 OPS, one game-winning hit

Analysis: A salary dump this is paying dividends, BIG dividends for Braves.  This should have been a PTBNL or cash trade.   Instead, we end up paying Sandoval, releasing him, and getting nothing.   The FO should have tied this to a performance-based criteria.  Yes we take Sandoval but we get our choice of minor leaguers if Rosario makes an impact.  

Straw for Maton and Yainer Diaz

Maton: Regular season: 4-0, 4.97 ERA
Maton: Postseason: 5.1 ip, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 5 K

Diaz: Regular season: low A: .229 BA, .557 OPS; High A: .396 BA, 1,219 OPS

Analysis:  A clear win for the Indians getting a true CFer to stabilize their outfield.    Houston feels better about themselves because Maton has done OK for them and they have his rights for another couple of seasons.   Diaz would never have been protected by the Indians.  We just had too many prospects ahead of him.   However, his 11 HR in 98 ABs after being promoted to High A is really eye-popping.  The best thing besides Straw to come out of this trade for the Indians is the realization, if they actually realize it, of how strong our farm system is.   Diaz would not have made our top 30 prospects and he is currently #13 for the Astros after his end-of-season splurge.  This should solidify for the Indians what they need to do this off-season: Either protect their prospects from the Rule 5 or value them well in trades and not just overpay in prospects in a trade because we have so many to protect.

Jordan Luplow and DJ Johnson for Peyton Battenfield

Luplow: Regular season: .246 BA, .796 OPS
Luplow: Post-season: .286 BA, .857 OPS, 1 grand slam
Johnson: 2,2 innings, 0 runs.   Currently on 60-day DL

Analysis: Each team got what they wanted in this trade.   Considering that Luplow was on the DL and Johnson was a throw-in, the Indians did well to get Battenfield and the Rays did well to get their guy, a lefty killer who they have under control through 2027.  Battenfield won't be eligible for the Rule 5 until after 2022.   Given that he was successful at AA, unless he gets hurt next year the Indians will get a good look at him in the high minors next year to see if he is worth protecting next winter.   He might even get a callup to the majors next year if he performs well.

So, the Indians had a mixed bag.   Straw and Battenfield help us now and the future and the guys we gave up likely we would have DFA'd this winter.   So, overall, I give the Indians a plus for their trades, given all the unfortunate circumstances with Rosario around the trade deadline.   

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