Tuesday, December 17, 2024

Thoughts For A Tuesday - What Are These People Thinking Post

 JOSH NAYLOR TRADE PROPOSALS

I am constantly amazed at the trade proposals that are brought forward by 'experts' at this time of year.

Let's look at the proposals so far for Josh Naylor:
  • Naylor for Trent Grisham and Will Warren
  • Naylor for Will Warren and Clayton Beeter
  • Naylor for Cade Smith and Jorbit Vivas
All you have to do is look at what each of these trades would do to the chances of the two teams making the playoffs and having a run in said playoffs.  
  • For Cleveland, unless they backfill Naylor's production, it basically will kill their playoff chances.  The pitchers and position players proposed will likely not help us this season and tend to be low ceiling, high floor guys. At best, they will keep the ship afloat so we can finish close to .500.    Grisham is expecially comical.  Having seen Grishamm for multiple years in San Diego, I would rather have Myles Straw.  We already have sunk money into the latter.
  • For the Yankees this dramatically increases both the chances of making the playoffs and the chances of returning to the World Series.
But that's really what you see over the winter from 'experts'.  Trades that will help their team win because they think Cleveland wants to dump high salaries and don't care about winning.  Or that it doesn't matter what Cleveland wants because they don't deserve to be in the playoffs, anyway.  Yeah, right!

But my favorite came from a Guardians' fan:
  • Josh Naylor and a reliever (presumably Hunter Gaddis) for Jasson Dominguez
This is especially comical because the Yankees overhype their prospects and trading for Dominguez, who isn't even ML-ready yet (and my never be, really), despite his high prospect rating (#14 in MLB), will likely not help us win in 2025. C'mon, guys.  Have a little more respect for our team than that!

WE HAVE ENOUGH RELIEVERS!  REALLY???

After trading Eli Morgan and Nick Sandlin I was chastised when I said we couldn't afford to trade any more relievers.  Well, here are our relievers for 2025 on the 40-man roster:
  • Franco Aleman
  • Pedro Avila 
  • Emmanuel Clase
  • Nic Enright
  • Hunter Gaddis
  • Tim Herrin
  • Erik Sabrowski
  • Cade Smith
  • Trevor Stephan (may be available in May)
  • Andrew Walters
That is 9 relievers who will be available on opening day with 4 of them (Aleman, Enright, Sabrowski and Walters) having little or ZERO ML experience and the other 5 (Avila, Gaddis, Herrin, Smith, Clase) all were overused in 2024.  Aleman and Stephan are coming off of injuries.  Plus Avila was DFA'd last year, so, there's that.  And Hentges and likely Espino will be on the IL most or all of the year.

So, right now, we are not in great shape in the bullpen.  Ah, but people say we have other guys who might be able to work out of the bullpen:
  • Lively
  • McKenzie
  • Cantillo
  • Logan Allen
Maybe.  But, really?  You want to try to patchwork BOTH your rotation AND your bullpen?  When you lineup is sub-optimal offensively and worse defensively than last year, with the latter not being even particularly close, IMO.  Really?

And you want to trade MORE relief pitching to fill other gaps?  No way.

THAT'S YOUR BACKUP PLAN AT CATCHER...REALLY???

The Guardians signed 30 year old Dom Nunez to a minor league deal.

He represents the next man up as a ML catcher if either Naylor or Hedges get hurt.

Nunez is who he is.  He's a AAAA player who can't hit in the major leagues and should be at AAA (or AA) to work with our young pitchers and give our catching prospects a breather.

He should be probably the third option for a callup to the majors in case of an emergency.  Not the first.

We need to re-sign Bryan Lavastida.  I wanted to add him to the roster before the roster freeze and we didn't do it.  So he lingers on the FA market.

I am truly tired of these AAAA relievers, AAAA catchers being top options as injury replacements in the majors.  We are on a razor's edge as to whether we qualify for the playoffs.  We can't be in a position where we are giving games away just because we haven't planned well to have quality depth options at AAA to be called up in case of injuries.

Imagine a universe where your catching duo/platoon is Austin Hedges and Dom Nunez!  Can we have the pitchers hit and DH for the catcher position?

This seems to be the MO of the Guardians.  Sign really bad AAAA players to minor league contracts thinking that you can bring them up for a few days and DFA them without losing much talent.  Roster flexibility over competitiveness.  Not a way to win a championship, IMO.


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